Wow, so I haven’t updated this page in over 5 months, (so much for updating it regularly) But baseball season was a disaster so I didn’t exactly want to write about that. I figured I might as well throw something together for the start of the NFL season.
Remember this is completely factually based and not at all random guesses that I made by looking at the schedule. Also yes I do hate your favorite team, thanks for asking.
*The win totals do add up to 256 so this is all, in theory, possible.
New England Patriots – 11-5
For the 25th season in a row, (it’s only 12 out of the last 14 but whatever), the Patriots will win the AFC East, it’s just what they do. Seriously, they haven’t won less than 10 games since 2002, when they won 9. I’m pretty high on the Dolphins and the Bills, but with Brady’s suspension being nullified, the Pats once again coast to a division title.
Miami Dolphins – 10-6
Ryan Tannehill is a pretty good quarterback and the Dolphins defense will be really good. That combo is enough to make me feel somewhat confident in the Dolphins chances this season. I think they win 10 games and sneak into the playoffs as the six seed.
Buffalo Bills – 8-8
New York Jets – 7-9
The Bills will be decent but the offense won’t be good enough to contend, and you can say the same exact thing about the Jets. This division may have three Top Ten defenses, but it’ll only have two playoff teams.
Baltimore Ravens – 12-4
Yes, I am incredibly biased but I still think the Ravens are going to be really good this year. The defense is still good, the offense got better, they have so few flaws right now that I’m having flashbacks of Rashaan Melvin in the playoffs last year. Anyway, the Ravens will be good and I’m a huge homer.
Pittsburgh Steelers – 9-7
The Steelers have the opportunity to pull off the impressive feat of a top five offense and bottom five defense this year. They have arguably the best running back and best wide receiver in the league, along with a great quarterback in Ben Roethlisberger. (I can’t believe I just wrote that sentence) The defense is a different story. It’s going to be really really bad. They don’t really have any linebackers and the secondary is even shakier now that Troy Polamalu is gone. This team is going to have to win some games 45-42 if they want to make the playoffs.
Cincinnati Bengals – 7-9
I think the Bengals regress, for no other reason than that they were really lucky last year. I won’t mention any details, but Max Gelman knows what I’m talking about. They’ll be okay, but finish under .500 in a tough division.
Cleveland Browns – 4-12
The Browns are the Browns, they play in Cleveland, their quarterback is Josh McCown. Sorry Ari. #FailForCardale
Indianapolis Colts – 13-3
The Colts will finish with the best record in the NFL because that’s just how good this offense is going to be. Andrew Luck and company are going to put up a ton of points, and he’ll even have a decent running back this year in Frank Gore. I think the Colts go 6-0 against divisional opponents and easily run away with the league’s weakest division.
Houston Texans – 8-8
Sadly being on Hard Knocks will not help improve the Texans quarterback situation, although it did make Vince Wilfork my favorite non-Raven NFL player. The defense drags them to 8 wins, but the quarterback play holds them back.
Tennessee Titans – 6-10
Mariota will be good in his rookie season, but not good enough to drag the Titans to anything more than six wins. The rest of the roster just isn’t good enough, they might be a sleeper pick next year, but they’ll be mediocre this year.
Jacksonville Jaguars – 4-12
I actually think the Jaguars will be okay this year, just not record wise. They have almost all the pieces, just not a competent quarterback. Maybe I’m wrong, but I don’t trust Blake Bortles.
Denver Broncos – 11-5
The Broncos will once again have an offense near the top of the league, but they’ll be less reliant on throwing the ball this time around. I think they rely more on their running game and defense in an attempt to keep Peyton healthy. Whatever they do, they’re still the best team in this division and they shouldn’t have too much trouble winning it for the fourth straight year.
San Diego Chargers – 10-6
The Chargers are going to be what they always are: a competitive team with a good quarterback that wins some big games but loses some stupid ones. Despite that, I think they sneak into the playoffs over the Chiefs simply due to the fact that Phillip Rivers is better than Alex Smith.
Kansas City Chiefs – 10-6
Speaking of Alex Smith, he actually has a real receiver this year! In fact Jeremy Maclin is probably the best receiver that Alex Smith has ever had. The Chiefs’ defense will be good again too, and honestly you could switch the Chiefs and Chargers and I wouldn’t really mind.
Oakland Raiders – 3-13
The Raiders will be better than they were last year, but still bad. I don’t see them winning a single game in division.
- Colts 2. Ravens 3. Broncos 4. Patriots 5. Chargers 6. Dolphins
AFC WILD CARD ROUND:
4. Patriots OVER 5. Chargers 6. Dolphins OVER 3. Broncos
The Patriots beat the Chargers because that’s what they do. The Dolphins pass rush makes Peyton uncomfortable all day and Miami pulls off the upset in Denver.
AFC DIVISIONAL ROUND:
- Colts OVER 6. Dolphins 2. Ravens OVER 3. Patriots
The Dolphins keep it close, but the Colts offense is too much and they win somewhat easily. Playoff Flacco appears and the Ravens handle the Patriots because THEY’RE ACTUALLY PLAYING AT HOME IN THE PLAYOFFS FOR ONCE.
AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME:
- Ravens OVER 1. Colts
God I hate this, why did I make this pick? Anyway, Luck gets knocked around by the Ravens pass rush and Playoff Flacco leads the Ravens back to the Super Bowl.
Philadelphia Eagles – 12-4
The Eagles will be really good this year as long as Sam Bradford stays healthy. More importantly though, the defense is going to be really good again. Even if Bradford gets hurt, the running game should be good enough to get them to the playoffs. This is only a Super Bowl team with Bradford however.
Dallas Cowboys – 11-5
Tony Romo is still is a premiere NFL quarterback and Dallas’ offense line is still the best in the league. They may not win the division, but they’ll be fine.
New York Giants – 7-9
The Giants might have one of the most exciting offenses in the league, especially with Odell Beckham Jr. Unfortunately I think he’s going to be catching a lot of passes against the prevent because this defense isn’t good.
Washington Football Club – 2-14
Green Bay Packers – 12-4
Jordy Nelson is out for the season and Randall Cobb is banged up, but the Packers still have the best quarterback in football. If you doubt this please go and watch the replay of the Bears-Packers game from last year. Rodgers is inhuman. Oh also Eddie Lacy is pretty good too.
Minnesota Vikings – 9-7
The Vikings are my sleeper team for the 2015 season. I think Teddy Bridgewater is going to be a top ten quarterback this season and having Adrian Peterson certainly won’t hurt either. Mike Zimmer will put together a solid defense and the Vikings will be the surprise team of the year.
Chicago Bears – 7-9
The Bears won’t be bad, but they won’t be good either. There’s not enough there on either side of the ball to make me confident in this team in any way. They have to get rid of Jay Cutler if they want to become a contender again. Also improving the defense wouldn’t hurt either.
Detroit Lions – 5-11
I’d like to personally apologize to Henry Burg, but the Lions won’t be good this year. The offense will be okay as long as Calvin Johnson stays healthy, but the defense will take a massive step back. They already lost their two best players in Suh and Fairley and Stephen Tulloch is coming back from injury. Also the secondary is due for a step back as they played out of their minds last season. Finally, the Lions were exceptionally lucky in close games in 2014, and unfortunately they won’t get to play against Mike Smith again this year.
Atlanta Falcons – 9-7
The Falcons weren’t that bad last year, but Mike Smith cost this team two if not three wins. With Smith gone and Dan Quinn replacing him, the Falcons will be just good enough to win a very bad division. I have confidence in Matt Ryan and Julio Jones.
New Orleans Saints – 8-8
I think the window on the Drew Brees Saints has closed. The offense will be decent again because Brees, but the defense is too horrible for this team to make the playoffs. Still, I think they stay alive until Week 17 where they lose a winner takes all game to the Falcons.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 6-10
Jameis Winston will improve this team but in similar fashion to Mariota he won’t be able to pull them out of mediocrity just yet. However, I hope everybody is ready for the 2018 Super Bowl matchup: Titans vs. Bucs.
Carolina Panthers – 4-12
The Panthers don’t have an offense and the defense declined last year. Also their schedule is absolutely brutal. In weeks six through nine they play Seattle, Philadelphia, Indianapolis and Green Bay. Wow. That’s pretty much an automatic 0-4. I just don’t see this team being good enough to overcome their schedule.
Seattle Seahawks – 11-5
I expect a bit of a Super Bowl hangover especially with how brutal that loss was last year, but they’re still the most talented team in this division. They’ll have a little bit of trouble, but still coast to a division title.
St. Louis Rams – 8-8
The Rams defensive line is absurd. Their backups might still be a top five line in the league. Unfortunately, Nick Foles is their quarterback and they have nobody at wide receiver. Todd Gurley will be fun when he gets back, but still the offense isn’t good enough to win anything more than eight games.
Arizona Cardinals – 8-8
I don’t trust Carson Palmer, that’s pretty much it. The defense is good, they have solid receivers, but the schedule is tough and Drew Stanton may be starting games again. They may be better than I think, but I’m not hopeful.
San Francisco 49ers – 4-12
This team is going to be bad. After losing about half of your roster it’s hard to be a good NFL team. Also are we sure Colin Kaepernick is a good quarterback? I’m a fan of Anquan Boldin and Torrey Smith, but I’m sure how many on target throws they’ll be seeing from their quarterback.
- Packers 2. Eagles 3. Seahawks 4. Falcons 5. Cowboys 6. Vikings
NFC WILD CARD ROUND:
3. Seahawks OVER 6. Vikings 5. Cowboys OVER 4. Falcons
The Vikings put up a valiant fight, but the Seahawks are just the more talented team. Pretty much the same thing can be said about the Dallas vs. Atlanta game.
NFC DIVISIONAL ROUND:
- Packers OVER 5. Cowboys 3. Seahawks OVER 2. Eagles
The Packers solidly defeat the Cowboys and everybody stops complaining about the Dez play (Not really). Mark Sanchez throws three interceptions and the Eagles crash back down to earth against Seattle.
NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME:
- Packers OVER 3. Seahawks
The Packers get revenge for last year’s NFC Championship game as Rodgers throws three touchdowns to whoever is currently their fourth string receiver.
Packers OVER Ravens
I didn’t want to pick the Ravens to win the Super Bowl. Also Aaron Rodgers scares me.
Anyway thanks for reading, i’m assuming you just clicked on the link that I posted on Facebook, but if you made it all the way down here, Thanks!
I’m planning on posting my NFL picks for the week here every week, but we’ll see, I’m not exactly consistent with these things. Also if you want to read stuff I write about college football head on over to insideNU.com, it’s a pretty swell site. Thanks Again!